Strategy for Factoring Inflation into a Reserve Study in a Rapidly Changing Economic Environment
Why does your Reserve Study include 3% inflation long term when CPI is > 8% and some Construction Indexes are using inflation rates of over 20%?
Why does your Reserve Study include 3% inflation long term when CPI is > 8% and some Construction Indexes are using inflation rates of over 20%?
Association Reserves has prepared over 70,000 reserve studies across the nation, which means we’ve worked with a lot of managers! We’ve identified the top 5 things that we wish Managers knew when it comes to reserve studies and the reserve study process.
We were shocked, along with the rest of the world, by the collapse of our client property, Champlain Towers South Condominium Association, in Surfside, FL on June 24, 2021. Our hearts broke for the families and friends of the 98 people who lost their lives in this unprecedented disaster. Although the underlying causes of the tragedy have yet to be determined, we know, based on our March 2020 Reserve Study, that the towers were 40 years old and the Association was significantly “underfunded”.
If we make a reserve expenditure “on schedule” (i.e., according to our Reserve Study), why does our Reserve Fund Strength (Percent Funded) drop? That’s a great question because it illustrates the difference between the calculation of Reserve Fund strength and paying for reserve expenses.
Interest earnings bring income to the association that inflation takes away. But do they offset each other? Well first, it helps to understand the difference between the two.
The scope & schedule of an Association’s reserve expenses are defined in the Reserve Study’s Component List. But once the Component List has been established, should the Reserve contributions necessary to fund those expenses be calculated using the “Straight Line” Method (officially called the Component Method) or the “Cash Flow” Method (sometimes called the “Pooled” Method)?